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Paraphrasing: “My model was right up until… so it was pretty good.”

I would not draw any of the conclusions the author did. This 3 variable growth and decay model has nothing to do with what happened.

COVID was a good example to me of a “nerd trap” all these simulators, mapping tools, exponential graphs got built. Having access to data can give one an illusion of understanding or at least a distraction from what matters.



Agree; there is little evidence these simulators did much beyond occupy people’s time for a while. I remember around 2022 in my Systems Engineering Masters someone wrote a similar simulator. I suppose it was inspired by this. It was a simulator that tried to simulate how infection spread in a cubicle setting.

There is one positive thing despite RTO becoming a thing and that is remote work became more recognized even if its trending more hybrid.


I remember that constant stream of devs making “Covid graphs”. God was it fucking depressing and a bit cringe.




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