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There is a non-zero chance of pretty much anything. I don't think Gutmann is opposed to exploration.


I think the parent's point is that if there is a non-zero chance of anything then it is good to have a backup plan


There is a non-zero chance of a black hole forming in the LHC and swallowing the Earth, yet we don’t have a backup plan for that. There are an infinite more examples like that. A non-zero chance is not an argument for anything, unless you have a good basis on actually quantifying it.




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