One smell test for me is what the LinkedIn and Twitter "technologists" (0) are excitedly and hurriedly talking about. If they're onto it, the tech is a probably about to hit the saturation point of the s-curve as the hype lag catches up. This is the sweet spot where early adopters can find ~~bagholders~~ late series investors.
Right now, this part of the internet is obsessed with genAI. Same folks that couldn't stop talking about crypto and web3 a few years ago.
And I could be wrong! But everything about this industry smells wrong. NVidia boosting to obscene highs turning out to be because developers couldn't be bothered to write optimized code. Everyone and their mother talking about AI but I still can't see real world impacts, besides customer service chatbots getting worse. Meanwhile the world burns and people die of curable disease, and we spend money making sand go brr instead.
(0) I really don't have a good term for this that isn't something like "posers." They're the folks you meet at conferences, always giving talks and writing blogs, mostly talking and very little doing. They're the people that are obsessed with technology but can never get below the surface level. This sounds dismissive, and it is, because this kind of person has wasted a lot of my brainpower over the last decade before learning to weed them out (aka - they're not "well aligned" as customers or coworkers).
Right now, this part of the internet is obsessed with genAI. Same folks that couldn't stop talking about crypto and web3 a few years ago.
And I could be wrong! But everything about this industry smells wrong. NVidia boosting to obscene highs turning out to be because developers couldn't be bothered to write optimized code. Everyone and their mother talking about AI but I still can't see real world impacts, besides customer service chatbots getting worse. Meanwhile the world burns and people die of curable disease, and we spend money making sand go brr instead.
(0) I really don't have a good term for this that isn't something like "posers." They're the folks you meet at conferences, always giving talks and writing blogs, mostly talking and very little doing. They're the people that are obsessed with technology but can never get below the surface level. This sounds dismissive, and it is, because this kind of person has wasted a lot of my brainpower over the last decade before learning to weed them out (aka - they're not "well aligned" as customers or coworkers).