Behind schedule? It never fucking ships. Two months ago, and four, and six I got...

CharlesW · on Dec 22, 2024

Maybe you were dog-piled because OpenAI will ship a successor to GPT-4o someday, whatever it's called.

In any case, the "behind schedule" rumors are themselves based on other rumors. GPT-2→GPT-3 took 5 quarters, GPT-3→GPT-4 took 11 quarters, so obviously GPT-5 (or its equivalent) will be released in Q4'2025.

benreesman · on Dec 23, 2024

It’s a pretty easy option when I’m selling calls with infinity expiration at zero strike.

I’m still selling them. That’s how utterly convinced that this particular mix of my former colleagues are incapable of this thing I am.

They’ll call something GPT-5, but it won’t like obsolete physicists or even good hackers. None of the shit sama says.

Even o1 sucks.

benreesman · on Dec 23, 2024

Facebook and Google both had a bunch of brilliant people. And in 2016-2017 some of the real legends worked at OpenAI.

And then Sam got control and all the high profile people bounced, and it’s a pretty grim residue that either lasted or rushed in.

I know these people, a lot of them personally, and they are not the person you trust with fucking anything.

mperham · on Dec 22, 2024

“Full self driving will be here next year.”