Reliable agents in diverse domains need better reasoning ability and fewer hallucinations. If the rumored GPT-5 and Q* capabilities are true, such agents could become available soon after it’s launched.
Sam mentioned on several occasions that GPT-5 will be much smarter than GPT-4. On Lex Fridman’s podcast, he even said the gap between GPT-5 and 4 will be as wide as GPT-4 and 3 (not 3.5).
He did remain silent on when it’s going to be launched.
OpenAI has been open about their ability to predict model performance prior to training. When Sam talks about GPT-5 he could very easily be talking about the hypothetical performance of a model given their internal projections. I think it’s very unlikely a fully trained GPT-5 exists yet.
Ben Horowitz and Andreesen just complimented Sam on their podcast on how smart he is. They then went onto compliment how adept he is at competitive strategy. I wouldn’t trust a word he says about when they will arrive at agi or milestones along the way.
