I love the idea of nuclear fission space propulsion. But, this concept doesn't look even mildly realistic. The first fission-electric rocket in space isn't going be f'ing 10 gigawatts [0]: it's going to be 5-6 orders of magnitude smaller, it's going to be conservatively designed and cautiously iterated, in a way that gets useful engineering data even if it doesn't work the first time (it won't). This craziness is an Nth-of-a-kind iteration you might consider attempting, >20 years* after your 1st success, after >20 years of sustained development effort. It's not a near-future plausibility.
*(Coincidentally, the first serious project was cancelled about 20 years before the present day [1]. That would have been an interesting alternate history...)
edit: To explain my reasoning a little: 10 gigawatts is gigantic amount of violently destructive energy—thermal energy, radiation energy, mechanical and vibrational [2] energy—you're trying to squeeze into a lightweight, complex, mass-optimized aerospace device that needs to run unattended and without maintenance for many years, without failing. That's probably very hard to get right. There have been many nuclear electric reactors in space already, but remarkably none of them, in operation, had any moving parts! They were all solid-state thermoelectric converters. I believe the bulk of that design choice boils down to "it's simple and conservative". Thermoelectrics aren't impressive by any other metric—just simplicity.
Even the first, smallest nuclear electric turbine in space will be a majorly impressive achievement, for whoever succeeds at it.
> This craziness is an Nth-of-a-kind iteration you might consider attempting, >20 years* after your 1st success, after >20 years of sustained development effort. It's not a near-future plausibility
Fittingly, the project is part of NIAC (NASA Innovative Advanced Concepts) which is specifically for borderline outlandish, far-future ideas like magnetic sails, space elevators, nuclear propulsion, a "Lunar Crater Radio Telescope" and many other somewhat crazy ideas.
From NASA:
> The NASA Innovative Advanced Concepts (NIAC) Program nurtures visionary ideas that could transform future NASA missions with the creation of breakthroughs — radically better or entirely new aerospace concepts
The rocket in question is a nuclear thermal rocket, not a nuclear electric rocket. The 10GW figure refers to waste heat.
The reason for pulsing the engine, and the advantage over a normal nuclear thermal rocket is that the heat generated by operating at full power continuously would be unmanageable.
Zubrin gave a great talk in 2011 on VASIMR, another drawing-board nuclear magneto-plasma propulsion technology [1]. It's not only untested and unnecessary, but gets used by opponents of space exploration as a convenient reason to delay funding until the magic kit is ready.
> Shorter periods of exposure to space radiation and microgravity could help mitigate its effects on the human body.
Of course once astronauts are on mars they will still be exposed to radiation, until some sort of shielding can be built.
Which would be an obscene undertaking, and involves moving lots of raw and refined materials to mars.
Which means hopefully the price of this rocket to get stuff off of earth is dirt cheap, because moving squishy humans to Mars, no matter the speed, is not the limiting factor! (Getting humans to Mars and keeping them alive there is!)
Most of the materials could surely be found on Mars. A shelter built out of sandbags would be a low tech solution that would get you a large part of the way there.
Further, Mars itself shields you from half the radiation (at night), the Martian atmosphere shields you from a little more, and Mars is further away from the Sun on average than an Earth-Mars spaceship.
Radiation during transit really does seem like a bigger issue.
>> obscene undertaking, and involves moving lots of raw and refined materials to mars.
Or they can dig a hole and/or pile mars dirt on top of their living structures. Some materials are better than others at absorbing radiation but, as a general rule, mass/depth of the protection counts more than composition.
It's not an intractable problem, just send a robot bulldozer and excavator a few years beforehand. The real problem with a Mars colony is the economics for making it anything more than a small scientific outpost / political stunt. Forget the upfront cost of the habitat/etc, how do you actually create a self sustaining Martian economy? I've never heard a realistic answer for this.
Sure, but solar is not great for digging underground. So now you need a solar station and wires connected to it, and that already complicates things significantly and massively increases the chance of failure.
small nuclear power plant would be the first thing sent to mars, or many arrays of solar cells. then pods of batteries, then construction materials, then equipment, then humans.
realistically, the assembly could be done remotely, and you would want at least two habitable shielded pods with a very large excess of food/oxygen/supplies stored by the time humans arrived.
This might seem impossible, but i don't think it's particularly difficult, the only major hurdle would be the budget. The rocket vessel will make a good living pod, the small nuclear reactor was studied by the US Gov in the 50s, so that shouldn't be a problem, except maybe cooling, but again that should be a solvable problem.
They don't require more than a rover if you accept them doing their work far slower than their normal earth equivalents. Hence sending them years in advance to dig out a some holes that would only take a few days for excavators on Earth.
While speed is a factor as well, you still need a lot more energy consumption to move a mass of rock&dust some distance away than to move a small rover. This immediately follows from the formula for work and the gravitational force.
Given enough time, you can dig out a house foundation with a spoon, power is not an issue here. The less power you have available the slower you work. If your robots wear out, you send more.
The real problem is finding enough time and money to waste on such a fruitless endeavor. If that can't be managed it nullifies the entire problem of digging a hole on Mars since a Mars base is nothing but a waste of time and money. Wasting time and money is table stakes.
As terrible as it is, blowing people up at least serves a purpose (an evil, mean-spirited, ego-driven purpose). A colony on Mars is entirely pointless. It would be like spending $100 billion on a performance art project.
> how do you actually create a self sustaining Martian economy? I've never heard a realistic answer for this.
What would a realistic answer even look like? I imagine that since nothing like jump-starting an economy ex nihilo on a cold, desert planet has been done before, any proposal at all would sound wildly unrealistic.
The problem with the Martian tourism is the huge amount of time it takes - around 3 year round trip with current conventional rockets; this proposed nuclear rocket would cut travel time to 2 months one way, but you are still looking at a 4 month minimum just in travel time. A billionaire who could afford a Martian vacation would likely struggle to take the time out of their schedule for one. This is why I think lunar tourism is much more viable: a vacation on the Moon need only take 2 weeks (a week of travel time and a week there; and nuclear propulsion could cut the travel time substantially)
It takes 2 months in near-ideal winds to cross the Atlantic by (non-modern ultralight) sail, yet that sort of travel was done pretty regularly for business.
When steam engines decreased that time to 16 days, 200-passenger ships crossing Atlantic purely for tourism were very popular.
It once was a tradition for the English upper classes to send their young sons on a "grand tour" of the Continent, which would last for many months, sometimes even a year or two.
So, yes, some billionaire paying for their kid to spend 12-18 months on a Mars trip is a possibility. Or maybe even for themselves if they retire, or as a sabbatical.
However, I think the much greater time and expense is going to make Martian tourism a much smaller market than lunar tourism.
I think in the medium term, the Moon is a much more feasible destination for humans than Mars is. It is much easier for an ultra-wealthy person to take a few weeks out of their schedule for a trip to the Moon, than months or years for a trip to Mars. Since it is only a bit over a light-second away, they could even quite feasibly work remotely from there – the delay is small enough that real-time audio and video calls are possible. Mars is 3–22 light minutes, which forces all communication to be asynchronous.
"The Mars colony would produce [service/good] to generate income sufficient to pay for the colony's upkeep / expansion."
Let's assume the colony itself is built by some idealist willing a trillion dollars to the project or something. Now that you have a base on Mars, how do the inhabitants pay to keep it going? Self sufficiency is too far fetched at this stage so they need regular supply shipments from Earth, so they need income of Earth currency.
Ok, you've described the problem again, but I'm trying to understand what a realistic answer would look like.
Let's say for instance that some answer were "handicrafts built from local, Martian materials" along with "YouTube channel revenue". Sounds unrealistic to me, but maybe people would be willing to pay $1M for a little puppet made on Mars, and they could ship them out by the ton. The economics on this are unusual.
I don't know. I honestly think Martian colonization just will not happen until we have a global, peaceful, prosperous civilization. Then it would just be funded by the global government in a similar way and for similar reasons as the antarctic stations.
> Now that you have a base on Mars, how do the inhabitants pay to keep it going? Self sufficiency is too far fetched at this stage so they need regular supply shipments from Earth, so they need income of Earth currency.
Emotional blackmail: “If Congress doesn’t pass the Martian colony funding bill, Americans on Mars will die”
National competition: “China’s Mars colony is bigger than ours”
Religion: “God wants us to send money to Mars” (that may sound bizarre, but religion motivates humans to spend fortunes on all sorts of strange things, maybe at some point one or more religions will latch on to Mars)
It takes a lot of energy to displace sand/dirt/rocks to build anything underground. Human-powered shovels require a lot of food and water, and machinery requires combustion and a lot of hydrocarbons.
rtgs can be used to aid solar in charging batteries, the digging process can take a long time, if you space it correctly you would be able to get that energy from solar etc
No, you cannot. You are still dramatically underestimating the density of hydrocarbon energy. Solar, electric, batteries, etc do not even remotely come close.
This line of thinking also dramatically underestimates the energy requirement to excavate dirt and rock...
Then, figure it's on another planet with dust storms that have already killed solar-powered rovers, etc.
There are excavators both small and big so yes you can definetely excavate using electricity alone.
> dust storms that have already killed solar-powered rovers
Looking at list here https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Mars_rover I guess you talk about Zhurong and Opportunity? Both of these seems like success story given that they survived way longer than they were expected to..
a gallon of gas produces about 33 kWh. A meter of solar panels (which has a similar weight without glass) produces about 1000 kWh / year. (It's about the same on Earth and Mars since a Mars year is almost twice as long)
This isn't a helpful metric though - even if we had a vast grid of solar on Mars - how is the power going to be stored? Batteries? How do you get them there? Who plugs it all in? Who maintains if when it fails?
Excavating earth and rock in the volume being proposed (to build underground dwelling spaces) is not trivial...
All of the other issues still exist. How do you setup a solar farm on a remote planet without any humans being involved (the OP was discussing tunneling before any humans arrived). Who plugs it all in? Who dusts it off after a storm? How long are the cables that power this excavator? What happens if they get tangled or damaged?
Tunnel boring machines often use electric motors, often in the thousands of kW range.
The ones the boring company uses are battery powered (using containers full of batteries). The batteries are swapped out periodically and charged overnight.
> The submarine reactor compartments that have been taken to Hanford are about 33 feet high and 40 feet in length. They weigh between 1,130 and 1,680 tons. Eventually, the Navy may deactivate its Ohio class submarines in the same manner. Those compartments would be much larger and heavier.
In case you're serious, nobody is suggesting launching a water-cooled reactor to Mars. Between the idiot ends of the power-source spectrum bounded by, on one end, a U.S. Navy PWR and, on the other end, Martian Aramco, we have the reasonable options of solar power, batteries, RTGs and fission-powered Stirling engines [1][2].
What is wrong with launching a water-cooled reactor to Mars? Or more likely launching the materials needed to build it. The active components of a reactor are quite tiny -- most of the bulk is in the shielding, which won't be necessary on an already radioactive planet like Mars.
If the nuclear reactor was the only thing that needs water, yeah. But if we're at the point of installing a nuclear reactor on Mars, I guess we would also be actively mining and processing water in large quantities.
> if we're at the point of installing a nuclear reactor on Mars, I guess we would also be actively mining and processing water in large quantities
A reactor should be among the first things we put down, ahead of the arrival of humans. And even if we’re processing lots of water, it would be a long time before it’s so abundant that sequestering (and irradiating) such a large amount of it is cheaper than other methods.
Only if you intend to stand near it while it's running. Not trying to be glib, just pointing out that at least initially, there might not be any humans near. Admittedly, radiation might be a bother for high density electronics (CPUs, RAM, etc), but maybe it'd be cheaper to shield the bot-brains. Bots could rely on the power for a few years and when the humans get there, if nothing else you could drop all the rods in and let the rad flux die down.
I know, I wouldn't want that in my back yard either, but Mars is exactly nobody's back yard at present. Bootstrapping a (necessarily!) technological civilisation on another planet is not an un-risky business.
Sure, but you're not going to need major shielding for the first few hundred reactors on the planet. Putting the stuff that requires maintenance away from the reactor will be enough for a few decades. (Put simply, the aspiring interplanetary powers who insist on heavily shielding their reactors aren't going to be releavant on the ground. You can launch a second reactor for the cost of one's shielding.)
Dirt works fine for shielding, when you live on a planet whose soil is already toxic to life. And yes Mars is radioactive, because it has no magnetosphere. Especially when there is a solar flare.
Not really. Being regularly irradiated makes you low-level radioactive.
After all the pedantry is out of the way, the point is that humans on Mars already have to deal with radioactivity, which makes using nuclear power a no-brainer.
Submarines are encircled by water, that is very good at absorbing heat. Nuclear power stations are also invariably close to a large source of water.
There is no such thing on Mars, and that significantly increases the mass and size of your radiators, making it uncompetitive with solar for example, unless the waste heat is needed for something else.
> could allow for crewed missions to Mars to be completed within 2 months. As it stands today with commonly used propulsion systems, a trip to Mars takes around 9 months.
Both numbers are pulled out of thin air. The Hohmann transfer time between 2 planets is about half a year. Which year, you ask? The year of the inner planet, or of the outer planet. Well, it's the average of the 2 years. A Martian year is about 2 of our years, so the average is 1.5 years, divided by 2 it's 9 months.
But if you are willing to burn more fuel, you can cut down the travel time. The delta-v between Earth orbit and Mars is surprisingly low. From the Moon transfer orbit to the low Mars orbit it is 2.5 km/s. The rule of thumb is that a rocket can achieve twice the delta-v of its exhaust velocity. In the case of the SpaceX Starship, the exhaust velocity is 3.7 km/s, twice that is 7.4 km/s, about 3 times the delta-v needed for the Hohmann transfer. SpaceX states they will be able to get to Mars in 6 months [1]. Musk went further and claimed that the Starship could get to Mars in as little as 80 days, and this fantastic Stack Exchange post [2] explains that maybe 80 days is slightly too optimistic, but 90 days is doable.
Now this design here claims that the rocket can achieve an ISP of 5000 seconds, which means an exhaust velocity of 50 km/s. With such an exhaust velocity, basically they can pick any random number and claim they can get to Mars that fast. The shortest path between the two orbits, the radial one, is about 75 million km long. At 50 km/s, it takes 1.5 million seconds, or 17 days. Of course, this is for a one-way trip, but presumably in the far future we could preposition fuel in Mars orbit for the return trip.
Maybe they thought half a month will sound too wild, so they went for the 2 month number to make it sound more realistic. The problem is that compared to the 3 months doable by SpaceX, it's not all that impressive.
my napkin gets almost the same with existing and relatively simple tech - solar or nuclear source of energy powering ionic drive (as the one already made and tested/flown by NASA with 3500 Isp (vs. yet to be made 5000 mentioned in the article)). Solar can actually beat nuclear if it is made as very thin, ie. light, film. I think and hope that SpaceX would end up using solar+ionic combo instead of chemical for Mars (and nuclear + ionic for beyond Mars).
The orbital timing makes little difference, because the velocities involved are significantly faster than planetary orbital speeds. Longer distances will take longer times, but not proportionally longer: the limiting factor is the acceleration and deceleration.
The diagram the parent linked is the conventional presentation for how to relate orbital transfer times with orbital phases—conventions that do not apply to high-Isp transfers, such as this concept. Orbital phases are not important here.
The "View" and play on any of those is neat. Well, Earth - Mars isn't as neat as some other routes. I can't recall the exact settings, but I've dabbled with it in the past and had some EVEJ routes (Earth to Venus to Earth to Jupiter)
> orbital transfer times with orbital phases—conventions that do not apply to high-Isp transfers
The minimum distance to Mars is 33.9 million miles. The maximum distance to Mars is 225 million miles. You're telling me this engine is so powerful it doesn't matter when you launch you'll always get there in 2 months?
Isn't Mars occasionally on the other side of the Sun from us?
I'm still failing to grasp this.
> minimum distance to Mars is 33.9 million miles. The maximum distance to Mars is 225 million miles
Two identical spacecraft could travel the same distance between Earth and Mars and arrive at wildly different times. You’re never taking a linear path; it’s like talking about the diameter of the Earth when comparing two steamboats.
> Two identical spacecraft could travel the same distance between Earth and Mars and arrive at wildly different times.
Okay, but this is one spacecraft with a single stated time.
So, does that mean it takes the same time regardless of when it was launched in the cycle? Or, does the two month figure only apply to launches at or near the minimum distance?
- "The minimum distance to Mars is 33.9 million miles"
The path we're talking about is not this straight-line distance; it's a much longer trajectory that looks closer to this [0] (probably longer than the one in this particular diagram). Part of the reason is vector velocity addition with Earth's orbital velocity; part of it is that the electric acceleration phase is not instantaneous—rather it's very, very slow.
It literally does. GP used (high) delta-v as a measure which correlates energy and change in velocity (which proposed propulsion is about) and porkchop shows it's not how as simple as how far/near source and destinations are, hence its existence and use.
*(Coincidentally, the first serious project was cancelled about 20 years before the present day [1]. That would have been an interesting alternate history...)
[0] https://www.howeindustries.net/ppr
[1] https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Jupiter_Icy_Moons_Orbiter
edit: To explain my reasoning a little: 10 gigawatts is gigantic amount of violently destructive energy—thermal energy, radiation energy, mechanical and vibrational [2] energy—you're trying to squeeze into a lightweight, complex, mass-optimized aerospace device that needs to run unattended and without maintenance for many years, without failing. That's probably very hard to get right. There have been many nuclear electric reactors in space already, but remarkably none of them, in operation, had any moving parts! They were all solid-state thermoelectric converters. I believe the bulk of that design choice boils down to "it's simple and conservative". Thermoelectrics aren't impressive by any other metric—just simplicity.
Even the first, smallest nuclear electric turbine in space will be a majorly impressive achievement, for whoever succeeds at it.
[2] Let's not forget: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Galileo_project#High_gain_ante...