It's not saying that black people cause murders, I don't think. It's an illustration of massive demographic replacement and gentrification: disadvantaged people are being pushed out. It's gone from being a poor minority community to a community with few minorities, and those that remain are of a higher economic class.
In turn, you don't have large groups of disadvantaged people milling together; you have a larger tax base for social programs and policing; etc. So it's also nonlinear.
Percentage of black people:
* 1980 - 68%
* 1990 - 43%
* 2000 - 23%
* 2010 - 17%
* 2023 - 13%
[1] https://www.census.gov/quickfacts/fact/table/eastpaloaltocit...
[2] http://www.bayareacensus.ca.gov/cities/EastPaloAlto70.htm