Thinking about the year GPT-5 is released is interesting (likely 2024).

Indeed. People are way underestimating how quickly this change is coming

I think both ideas have their merits. I think we can all agree that progress isn’t necessarily linear. So maybe in 2100 we won’t quite get to what I’m talking about, but by 4000 I don’t think anyone can claim that we’ll be working 40 hours a week and paying bills with credit cards still.