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I'm getting tired of intelligent people dumping on one of the most incredible advances our field has ever seen.

I was cynical of everything - smartphone incrementalism, slow pace of biology developments, social media. It didn't look like the hope and promise of the 1950's and 60's jet packs and robots would ever pan out. You'll probably find historical comments I've made on HN criticizing Ray Kurzweil and his like for their "bullshit Singularity" (as I used to call it). I firmly believed we had plateaued as a society.

With everything going on in AI/ML, I feel wrong about my assessment and finally have hope for the future. This is the automation of automation. Second order.

Please imagine what this means in the fullness of time. You might think HTML / CSS generation is a toy - it is. But what's coming will wash away everything you know. And it'll happen fast. People are plugging themselves into this tech and starting to dig away at existing problems and markets. It'll happen more quickly than with tech and the internet because there are more of us now.

> these demos have really quickly become so boring.

I'm about to put CNN/NBC/etc. out of business, and I'm just getting started: https://fakeyou.com/news

I can think of an AI/ML way to destroy almost every incumbent business out there. You should be applying yourself to that right now.

These are just the cards I'm willing to show now.

> It just sounds to me like maybe you are burnt out, or maybe you don't like coding stuff as much as others.

Maybe they don't like churning butter. The point isn't to write code, it's to create and solve problems.

This is the biggest opportunity of our lifetimes staring us in the face. Don't sleep on this.



The “GPT is going to wash away everything” discourse sounded familiar here on HN and of course, I had read it multiple times on your posts bordering on spam.

I don’t know if your tech is going to wash away anything, and I do wish you good luck, but CNN has been digging their own grave for the best part of a decade and you claiming the credit for taking them down is some of the worst hubris I’ve read on HN.

As for the applications of LLM I’ll take François Chollet’s view that they may be more limited than many people are claiming.


> You'll probably find historical comments I've made on HN criticizing Ray Kurzweil and his like for their "bullshit Singularity" (as I used to call it).

> I feel wrong about my assessment and finally have hope for the future

Maybe it should make you scared for the future. Read https://musingsandroughdrafts.com/2023/02/17/my-current-summ...


> These are just the cards I'm willing to show now.

When you're showing me one flush card, the other one is a rag and you're trying to get me to fold. If you had the flush, you could show me both cards and get me to fold for sure.


This follows the form, hype, and presentation of so many crypto pitches I've heard.


Crypto didn't do anything.

AI can give anyone the power to make music, art, film, and media without the time, talent, and institutional capital investments.

AI can automate people's jobs and reduce cost structures to accomplishing work and business objectives.

That's the difference, and the evaluation criteria is easily decided by the free market. Did it do a good job? Will it get hired again to repeat similar work? Are more customers adopting it? That's all you need to judge its success or relevancy.


Until AI can give us a just society where people are fed, clothed, medically treated and housed globally, I'm not tripping over myself calling it the future.

It's just more of the same, just faster and bigger. Sure, that's something, but it doesn't give me much hope by anything it has proven so far.


I enjoy your optimism and excitement, but as Joseph Weizenbaum puts it, this is most certainly the proverbial solution looking for a problem.


Hi ChatGPT


It's cool how stuff like this can be made so trivially now. It has the potential to be quiet useful, even though it is very simple to copy. What you have here is essentially the same as what is in the article, that was created by someone with no programming experience.

Steps to reproduce: 1. Generate a face 2. Pass face to animator API 3. Feed text to voice api


To paraphrase Lacan: as a revolutionary, you are demanding a new master. You will get one.




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