Your manager may not know if or when but they might have been asked to make a short list along with all other managers. Everyone has to do it so which teams isn't leaked early.

Also be careful about asking. What if they tell you the truth? You might learn things you can never unlearn. What do you think it's like knowing who the sacrificial lamb is going to be for the next round of layoffs? Someone who's married with young kids at home? It sucks.