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But afaik, solar panels currently convert only 20% of the energy to electricity, can you explain why this is close to the theoretically or practically possible maximum?


There's a theoretical limit of 55% for unconcentrated, 85% for concentrated sunlight. I'm not sure about the exact thermodynamical reasons for those numbers.

But claims of "1000x better" can physically never be true, unlike for batteries (e.g. antimatter, no matter how impractical, has millions times more energy density)


It depends on how you operationalize the claim and when you start the timer.

In 1975, the cost per watt for solar PV modules was $105.70 per watt, when normalized for inflation. In 2020, that number was $0.20 per watt. (Source: https://www.iea.org/data-and-statistics/charts/evolution-of-... )

That a 528x improvement. If the price goes down in half again, quite possible with economies of scale, you have 1000x better in a significant measurement that counts.


I’m the wrong kind of an engineer to have a cogent thought / argument about that.

My remark was more of an anecdote that these things are getting better in spite of a great deal of pessimism about them over my lifetime.




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