> You don't build affordable cars, you just build cars
There. You've hit upon the crux of it.
Entirely too many areas of California are opposed to new housing developments because it's going to lower their property values. Period. End of story. They're too fucking cowardly to come right out and say it, which is why I not only have no respect for these people, it's why I call them out on their bullshit - to their face - every single chance I get.
"Doing good" requires sacrifice. Always. Because if it was fuckin' easy, everyone would be a do-gooder. Everyone would be rushing into burning buildings to save someone, diving into sub-zero temperature water through the ice to grab the person who fell in, sacrificing their wealth to make the world better, etc.
Most of these people want to feel good, they don't actually want to do good. Buying a Tesla, installing solar panels, recycling your paper and plastic, donating (usually just enough to offset tax burdens) to charities doesn't make you a good person. YOU have to personally suffer and give up something of significant value - in this case, your multi-million dollar valuations on your housing.
My feeling on this is similar, and I'd take it a step further.
Somebody wants to build some houses in Nimbyville. They developer stands to make money, and increasing the supply of housing will benefit those who want to move there[0] by (presumably) lowering the cost of housing overall.
This is fine, but there's a good chance the people in Nimbyville who own houses will see the value of those houses go down in the event these new ones are built. Or they may be hurt in some other less tangible way, the salient point is that they think it would be bad for them and are willing to expend some effort or forgo some utility in order to prevent the construction. Furthermore and importantly, they current residents have power over the new builds, via city councils and zoning and objections etc.
Hence the free market solution is to buy this privilege from them. The developers can offer to pay the people who stand to lose property value, until the proposition is profitable for the Nimbys. If the price gets too high then it might be worth it to go down another route like legislative change from a higher power like state government, or a PR guilt campaign. This seems to be what's happening now. I wonder though if you couldn't just pay people off? [1]
[0] Even if the housing isn't cheap, since it potentially frees up a cheaper house in the same area.
[1] You may argue that this constitutes rent seeking on behalf of the Nimbyvillians.
Market based solutions are great for fungible things, where it's kind of easy to setup a healthy market, where competition between sellers actively contributes to having better products, that serve the buyers better.
Housing has the big problem that it's a monopsony market. For that actual plot/lot of land there is only one seller.
Yes, nearby plots are kind of fungible, but when the same incentives drive the price up everywhere you run into the problem of having a market in a pathological state. It's impossible to add new sellers, the barriers to entry is too high (eg. you can't create new land there).
This doesn't mean that forcing communities to change is the best solution, but if they want to remain frozen in time they should pay for that privilege. (Eg. they should buy the land around themselves and/or the air rights so they can control new developments to exactly zero, ie. in their case by keeping everything static.)
After all this kind of proscription on change depresses the value of individual plots, because if someone would like to sell their plot they only can sell it to folks who will keep the existing house (or at best build a very similar one there), which is a strictly smaller group of potential buyers, than were new developments allowed.
You make a strong point. I would argue that alternatives do exist in the form of other cities, and certainly jobs and people are (sometimes) choosing to go to e.g. Texas instead of California on the basis of cost.
The fact that the current inhabitants have such control over new construction is something I was taking as fixed, but I wouldn't argue it's healthy.
Finally, as a compromise between paying Nimbys and forcing them to pay, I would be interested in seeing a trial of a kind of mutual auction. For example, a group of residents and a group of developers secretly bid what the project is worth to them (positive or negative) and then the higher bid pays the other party the value of the lower bid. There is probably a name for this, and a theory that shows how to do it properly, but I'd be interested to see if some economic games could reach a better solution (in terms of regret-minimization, for example).
> Hence the free market solution is to buy this privilege from them.
Wouldn't the nimbys hold out for a higher price forever?
That's what happens if you try to build something like a railway: Once you've brought up 95% of the land you need, the owners of the final 5% realise they can demand a huge sum.
Contingent contracts and subsequent graphing could fix that. Ask for everybody along proposed "grid-maps" of territory if they would be willing to sell for a railroad, and how much at an upfront price and make all pending a successful route negotiation. Then it becomes a graphing problem to find the cheapest path which fits the constraints.
>The developers can offer to pay the people who stand to lose property value, until the proposition is profitable for the Nimbys.
That sounds like the exact opposite of what you should be doing!
The fact of the matter is the city has taken without compensation the right of people to build whatever the hell they want on their properties. And your solution to this theft of a private right onto public hands is to not just formalize said theft, but to re-distribute such right to those who never had it in the first place, and who stole it via laws and regulations?
No.
The free market approach is to not interfere in what people can build in their properties. And if a community feels they must interfere, they are welcome to offer the owner of the property payment to purchase that right, which the owner may freely accept of reject.
That is what a free market solution looks like.
Not theft and subsequent redistributing of the proceeds to the thieves.
>The free market approach is to not interfere in what people can build in their properties.
Unless it affects other properties in real ways - not with abstract "property value decrease". If someone emits toxic fumes, that constitutes real damage.
Even that would generally not require removing the right of what people want to build in their land!
You can surely charge people for polluting the air outside their land, or making too much noise in other peoples properties/public land, etc... Without imposing limitations on what people can build.
In the same way you can fine people for littering or putting on loud music in public, you can fine them for doing the same when it's coming out of their property. No need to ban anything outside of the harmful act.
And indeed, such a stance, if applied equally everywhere and across the board, would very much be able to replace the few positive effects of zoning.
For example, instead of having dedicated "industrial districts", simply by enforcing pollution and noise levels on public rights of way you can ensure the harmful impacts of such pollution impact only those who agree to be impacted.
Want to build a loud factory somewhere? All you need to do is buy enough land around it that by the time the noise leaves your property line it's in low enough that its within the same levels as it would be in any residential area.
If you can't afford to buy that much land, you can simply get together with other industrialists and build up a private "industrial area" to make good on economies of scale. Best thing is, since that "industrial area" is entirely privately owned, the general public won't even have to pay for the road upkeep inside it!
The same thing happens with pollution! Feel free to make as many smoke stacks as you want! You'll be charged for every CO2 coming out of your property line! This encourages industrialists to put in carbon capture right at the source!
Careful. I have a strong disagreement with this. Doing good requires doing good in the sense of doing the things that are high impact. Some of those things require personal loss or suffering but it’s not the personal loss or suffering that makes those things into good acts. Also there are many good things that you can do that require less suffering. Ideally we can get both but we shouldn’t glorify suffering at the expense of outcomes.
> Doing good requires doing good in the sense of doing the things that are high impact.
I strongly disagree with that definition. Holding the door for someone is doing good. Picking up a plastic bottle off the street and putting it in a recycle bin is doing good. Doing good does not need to be high impact, or to even directly impact anyone at all.
Well, I have never done good without some degree of sacrifice on my part.
And I thought through it in detail, taking your comment seriously.
Now, at times there is way more reward than sacrifice. And it may be very minor league, but it is there.
I agree with you completely in that the good is all about the target of the good, not our cost of action.
Not all good is high impact too. Just being a good human, holding doors, helping in small ways all add right up to impact the world we inhabit. Broad impact that is catchy. Everyone benefits.
It depends though. If someone grew up in a dense neighborhood then they might not care at all, or they even find the densification of a typical car centric sprawl a good thing :)
"Entirely too many areas of California are opposed to new housing developments because it's going to lower their property values. Period. End of story."
This explanation is commonly repeated, but it rings false, for a couple reasons.
One is that if you ever talk to a NIMBY boomer (or are related to one), you'll very rarely hear them talk about their home value, except in the context of lamenting how their kids can't live near them anymore. Instead, you'll hear them talk about how they'll lose their view if the high-rise goes up, or they'll be in shadow, or that it'll bring in the riff-raff, or the roads can't support more traffic, or how will the school systems cope, or it'll change the bucolic character of the town, or you won't be able to know your neighbors. It's all about preserving lifestyle, not money.
A second is that even if these are bullshit excuses for actually wanting money, their incentives don't add up. The worst NIMBYs are people who intend to die in their home and never move again. Economically, they shouldn't care about their home value, because by the time they can turn it into cash, they'll be dead. A lot of them are even childless, so the "leave an inheritance for the kids" argument doesn't apply.
A third reason is that development usually raises home values. 30 units on a half acre in the Bay Area goes for about $10M; 1 unit on a half acre in the Bay Area goes for about $3-4M. This is how developers profit, and how they can convince homeowners to sell to them in the first place. Upzone a 1/2 acre SFH and the homeowner can pocket a million or two over fair market value, and the developer pockets maybe $3M after construction costs.
A more likely explanation is to a.) take NIMBYs at their word when they say it's all about quality of life rather than finances and b.) understand that development privatizes gains among former and non-residents, socializes losses among current residents, and socializes gains among future residents. When a lot gets upzoned, the people who make a financial windfall are the developer (non-resident) and the seller (former resident). The people who enjoy a better quality of life are the new residents who move in and wouldn't otherwise have a home in a desirable community (future residents). The people who suffer a worse quality of life - for all the reasons listed above - are the existing homeowners (current residents). Guess who are the voters?
Also, the big elephant in the room here is that the denser housing is, the more quality-of-life for people living there is affected by things outside the bounds of their individual property and the more important it becomes for them to have a say in that. YIMBY campaigners can post all the photos they like of high-rises surrounded by parkland to argue that high-density living doesn't have to be a dystopian hellscape, but when the founding principle of YIMBY-ism is that developers could replace those parks with a blank wall blocking out all sunlight to the residents' windows or an art gallery full of visitors looking directly into their lives all day and the residents should have no way of stopping it that's basically just a bait-and-switch. (The art gallery example and the YIMBY reaction to it is something that actually happened in London!)
> This explanation is commonly repeated, but it rings false, for a couple reasons.
Good explanation, thanks.
While often repeated on HN, reality is that existing homeowners have the home to live in it, approximately none of them are tracking prices or caring if it goes up/down. The only exception is the house flippers, but those are a tiny minority.
Even for the rare few who do obsessively track prices, they don't matter because the city planning commissions who approve the permits to building companies are not consulting with any voters on what they do or don't do.
I know some nimby boomers and agree that's exactly what they say but I don't see why they can't move they don't need to be there for economic reasons they could buy 3x the house in some costal town much further from the city. Young people generally want to be near cities because that's where the jobs are.
> but I don't see why they can't move they don't need to be there…
What does it matter? They bought property just like any other person in America. If you work remote does that mean you should have to live in the middle of nowhere to free up space for someone who commutes?
Old people usually need medical care. I see it with my own, she starts the day taking half a bucket of pills lol. Are there care workers or hospitals in the area? Maybe they can no longer drive a car? In which case you're basically stranded in the countryside.
If they're actually boomers, they likely have some kind of social network in their area, they have habits, they have families relatively close, etc. Actual boomers are close to 70yo and that's not the age, where many are ready for a life change. 3x the house in some coastal town they have no meaningful connection to is not going to appeal to a lot of them.
If your position is that a non-resident can come into town and force a long-time resident to have to move out just because they want to take their place, how is that ok?
The people who want to hold the moral high ground have to also accept the suffering and sacrifice that go with it. "Doing the right thing" has a cost to it. That's exactly why I call these people out. They want to be seen as good people, but aren't willing to suffer the burden that goodness requires.
> Isn’t one group bearing the brunt of sacrifice the very definition of inequality.
No, it isn't, because I'm talking about voluntarily sacrificing for your community in the pursuit of a higher good than your own personal enrichment and the enrichment of your children.
> Often times it could be a rich person defending his property name but it could just add easily be a poor family.
Define "rich". Define "poor". When I was a young child, people who could afford to eat three meals a day were "rich". Today, I define "poor" as being unable to eat at a restaurant every day of the week and not being able to afford a first-class flight. It's an ever-sliding scale based on your own income, and everyone's comfortable sacrificing more - or less - than someone else.
The dead simple solution to gentrification (the unfair pricing out of the locals) is to mandate building houses that are basically a strict superset of the already present ones. Which allows the locals to stay in the neighborhood with very similar conditions (eg. similar rent for years).
Naturally this means that developments will be big to absorb these costs.
Because it is pro-social behavior. Same as voting for higher taxes on yourself personally.
In fact, lowering property values is often good for people. It lowers property taxes (well... not in california since they never recompute) and it lowers the price of comps so if you move and buy another house it is largely a wash.
Yes, we've created a system where a ton of people are highly dependent on inflated housing prices and this leads to anti-social policy support so they can keep their wealth. This is a tough nut to crack because people are greedy. But this approach isn't sustainable.
Houses are not just expensive because people are greedy. Nice places are limited, and therefore they will always be expensive. And it is not "greedy" to want to live in a nice place.
That there is a host of other issues in the system is without question.
"Nice places are limited, and will always be expensive."
But the thing is, housing isn't about 'nice places always being expensive' it's about reasonable places skyrocketing in value do the a lack of new or additional housing to accommodate a growing population.
It seems the "reasonable places" are also nice, otherwise people wouldn't be willing to pay so much for them. It's also not the fault of the people living there if the population is growing. Why should they have to accommodate the growing population?
Nice places are also artificially limited by policy supported by people who don't want to see their more-exclusive control over those nice places diminished.
You throw around the word socialism as an epithet but the status quo you are defending is one of the least free markets in the world. Those escalating values are the result of manipulation at every level of government.
I'm just arguing from the principle that people should be allowed to desire certain living conditions and work towards obtaining them. Not saying the current state of affairs is ideal.
Nevertheless it seems OK to me if, say, a city designates some area for building and says "this is for a part of town with lots of parks and only single family homes" or whatever. Then it would be unfair to later come around and say oopsi, now you'll have to accept "affordable" homes in your neighborhood.
Presumably the city sells the land to the builders, and it comes with a certain promise.
Well if the land belongs to the city, they can do with it as they please, including central planning? I'm not saying it is ideal, but I think that is usually how it is done? And if you want to sell land to people to build houses for their family, you better provide them with some incentives, like promising to build schools, sanitation and so on.
It also is not as hopeless as socialism because people are not forced to take the offer. they can negotiate with the city, too. They can even start their own cities.
Because that’s what “affordable” housing is, houses that don’t have high values.
I find it funny that you reference socialism, when these people are limiting property development on land that they don’t own in order to capture higher values by limiting the supply of housing.
Turns out socialism is just anything that doesn’t benefit people who already got theirs.
It just seems that land in general comes with certain promises, like that they won't create a garbage dump in your backyard or a motorway above your house. That and the location is part of what gives a property its value.
It's not socialist to heed contracts. These people are also not "capturing value", they paid for their property and want to preserve its value.
Also, if you don't care about the environment at all, why don't you build your affordable housing in some affordable place (next to a garbage dump, for example)?
What housing contract comes with any stipulation about zoning? The “promises” you talk about are pure imagination. When you buy a house, you buy the land it sits on (and perhaps some level of air rights), nothing more, nothing less.
What you’re talking about is nonsense. The municipality is in charge of zoning and these people are using their political power to enrich themselves, plain and simple.
Also, how is building an apartment building akin to a garbage dump? Wherein my previous statement was it implied I didn’t care about the environment? All we are talking about is allowing new houses to be built where there already are houses…
By environment I mean the location - shops, parks, houses, lakes, garbage dumps.
According to you, if you want to preserve the attractiveness of the location, you are an evil exploiter trying to extract value at the expense of the people.
From that I conclude that you don't care about preserving the value of the location, so you should have no issues with building a garbage dump next to the affordable housing unit. I said build the unit next to the dump, but if it feels better, you can do it the other way round. Build the affordable housing, then build the garbage dump next to it. After all, nobody is entitled to a nice environment to live in, and you wouldn't want to enrich the people living there.
And I am pretty sure the "promises" are not imagination. At the very least, it seems the residents have a say in what gets build, or they couldn't prevent the building of new houses. So "move there, and you'll have a say in the further development of the area" seems to be a promise.
> According to you, if you want to preserve the attractiveness of the location, you are an evil exploiter trying to extract value at the expense of the people.
NIMBYs will often cite property values directly as a reason for their opposition. This isn’t some inference on my part, these are their own words.
It’s one thing to say you don’t want a literal garbage dump next door, it’s another to say you don’t want more houses around because you want to secure the value of your own speculative investments.
Location isn’t fungible, people generally need to be geographically located close to their work, family, etc.
What makes more sense, for the state of California to massively increase teachers salaries just so they can afford a basic house, or allow yourself to have a few more neighbors?
At this point it’s pretty obvious what your answer will be so consider that a rhetorical question.
Ive seen this 'people need to live near work' argument, but I don't know what its based on. If a teacher has to commute an hour, they will commute an hour. If a bartender has to commute, they will commute. Wouldn't it be better to make transportation cheaper and easier to use? That way people could live where they can afford, and still work in another place. I don't understand why people have to subsidize someone living close to their job.
edit: I was a bit blind and didn't realize that my point was made an hour ago (here: https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=29229793 ) already. So I'll change my previous post to ask the following question:
> That and the location is part of what gives a property its value.
Would you support policies that would keep your property from increasing in value? Or at least to keep it from increasing relative to inflation? If not, why not?
It would be weird to make a policy just to prevent people's property from increasing in value, don't you think? Especially if you consider that improving the location (building better roads and infrastructure) would also increase the value.
That would be a typical socialist failure, I think, that would only ensure nobody can have nice things.
I don't think I would oppose policies that help other people, as long as they don't devalue my property (hypothetically, as I don't actually own any real estate).
On the other hand, acting against socially good measures with sole purpose of profitting from them is evil.
>Also even if it sounds good and social, you can also turn it on its head and realize why socialism breeds hopelessness: if you establish a rule that people have to live in properties with low value, nobody will have to hope to ever escape those conditions.
This statement makes no sense. The reason why those properties have high worth has nothing to do with any intrinsic properties or conditions of them, and everything to do with scarcity of housing. You can do world's most unwalkable shoe and it will can the most expensive one if you're well known fashion designer.
No - the initial premise here was that people should have to accept "affordable housing" in their neighborhood. You can build affordable housing elsewhere if scarcity is the problem.
"On the other hand, acting against socially good measures with sole purpose of profitting from them is evil."
What do you mean by "profitting from them"? Is it profitting if I pay more for my house so that my kids don't encounter drug dealers on their way to school? And that would then somehow be evil?
In general it seems absolutely normal to want to protect the value of ones investment. Like if you pay a premium to have a view to the lake. Then it isn't "evil" if you want to prevent somebody to build a skyscraper between your house and the lake.
It would be evil to sell somebody a plot of land with promise of view to the lake, and then build a skyscraper in front of their house to block the view. That would simply be fraud.
There. You've hit upon the crux of it.
Entirely too many areas of California are opposed to new housing developments because it's going to lower their property values. Period. End of story. They're too fucking cowardly to come right out and say it, which is why I not only have no respect for these people, it's why I call them out on their bullshit - to their face - every single chance I get.
"Doing good" requires sacrifice. Always. Because if it was fuckin' easy, everyone would be a do-gooder. Everyone would be rushing into burning buildings to save someone, diving into sub-zero temperature water through the ice to grab the person who fell in, sacrificing their wealth to make the world better, etc.
Most of these people want to feel good, they don't actually want to do good. Buying a Tesla, installing solar panels, recycling your paper and plastic, donating (usually just enough to offset tax burdens) to charities doesn't make you a good person. YOU have to personally suffer and give up something of significant value - in this case, your multi-million dollar valuations on your housing.
/rant