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It could easily be a natural virus that was collected, but leaked from a the lab that studied it. To me, it makes sense to look at biohazard lab safety procedures if there was even a chance the lab was a factor in its spread. It’s possible to make mistakes while following best practices, or that those practices themselves need improved. It’s sad that it’s become a blame game of who caused the pandemic, when what we really need is an impartial account to prevent the next pandemic.


A blame game is only sad if it was a true accident. If both the US and China were actually trying to develop such a virus and one of them accidentally released it, neither will be able to tolerate transparency because it would lead to international blame and desire for revenge.


The bio weapon theory just seems crazy, because why would a nation make a highly transmissible virus that it has no tools to control the pathogen? I’m working on the assumption that states like stability, workforce not dying, and strong economies.

The Trumpist attacks on China make the most sense as being for the domestic political audience. The Chinese coverup of anything that makes CCP rule seem imperfect is SOP. I mean seriously, that guy in charge is afraid of a talking teddy bear.


Google Sverdlovsk Anthrax.

It requires one heck of a lot crazy state system to do something that crazy. Not saying that such crazy states don't exist.


If it was a natural virus it is way, way more likely that it would have infected locals (farming bat guano for instance) than it would be discovered by a researcher, then brought back to Wuhan, then leaked there.

We also have no idea where the outbreak started, only where the first hotspot was.


I'm not so sure about that, since Wuhan researchers regularly went to bat caves to collect virus samples. The bat caves being over 1000 km away from Wuhan, it seems not that unlikely that sars-cov-19 was brought from the bats to Wuhan on one of those field trips.

Then again, it may very well be the case that Wuhan was not the place of the first transmission to humans, just the one were it first happened on a large enough scale to be noticed and recognized as something new.

I think there's not enough evidence to dismiss any of the transmission routes.


>If it was a natural virus it is way, way more likely that it would have infected locals

Not really, if they've been coexisting with the virus for a while they could be somewhat immune already. Also, you cannot compare the impact of an outbreak in a rural town in Laos vs. Wuhan with 11 million people and much more international commuters.


>Not really, if they've been coexisting with the virus for a while they could be somewhat immune already.

Worth to find out if there are places around Laos where level of COVID infections was lower and people may have such immunity ?


Shi Zheng-Li/"Bat Woman" was sent to investigate a lethal outbreak with CFR of 50% in Yunnan in 2012 (!!!)

"Lethal Pneumonia Cases in Mojiang Miners (2012)" https://www.frontiersin.org/articles/10.3389/fpubh.2021.7021...

https://www.scientificamerican.com/article/bat-cave-solves-m...

Supposedly that's the closest related virus?




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