FWIW, the actual title is the wordy "Global Fund Results Report Reveals COVID-19 Devastating Impact on HIV, TB and Malaria Programs".
a0-prw? How did you come up with this title summary? I can't find anything in the report which supports it.
> While the global TB burden estimate for 2020 was not available at the time of publishing, the impact of COVID-19 on TB cases and deaths can be potentially devastating over the coming years.
but even this doesn't say that the overall response might have lead to more deaths.
It might be possible to look at the estimated decrease in TB treatments due to COVID, combined with some (unstated) estimate of how many of those would lead to fatalities, and compare that to the number of COVID deaths - not official deaths, but using the same models used to estimate TB deaths.
I couldn't find that analysis in this report.
I did see where the COVID response might have helped in the long-term:
> COVID-19 has catalyzed a multitude of innovations across all three diseases .... Many of these innovations will outlast the crisis and strengthen our fight against HIV, TB and malaria.
so it's not clear that even long-term (multi-decade) numbers will be worse.
a0-prw? How did you come up with this title summary? I can't find anything in the report which supports it.
> While the global TB burden estimate for 2020 was not available at the time of publishing, the impact of COVID-19 on TB cases and deaths can be potentially devastating over the coming years.
but even this doesn't say that the overall response might have lead to more deaths.
It might be possible to look at the estimated decrease in TB treatments due to COVID, combined with some (unstated) estimate of how many of those would lead to fatalities, and compare that to the number of COVID deaths - not official deaths, but using the same models used to estimate TB deaths.
I couldn't find that analysis in this report.
I did see where the COVID response might have helped in the long-term:
> COVID-19 has catalyzed a multitude of innovations across all three diseases .... Many of these innovations will outlast the crisis and strengthen our fight against HIV, TB and malaria.
so it's not clear that even long-term (multi-decade) numbers will be worse.