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Your CFR is with respect to diagnosed cases. Many cases are mild and have no symptoms. The real CFR is likely an order of magnitude lower.


That's one theory, but the evidence is mixed. For example, I believe in cruise ships, where everybody was tested the CFR was ~ 3%. However maybe the age distribution was older.

There are a lot of factors, some cause underestimating of cfr (he died of pneumonia, didn't have a test to spare, cause of death pneumonia).




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