| | Peak TIME POTY Drama (manifold.markets) |
| 1 point by surprisetalk 4 days ago | past | discuss |
|
| | The new LK-99: DeepMind/Other AI solves navier stokes publicly by October 20? (manifold.markets) |
| 4 points by palebone 71 days ago | past | 5 comments |
|
| | Manifest: Startup Pitch Competition, Night Market, & Career Fair (manifold.markets) |
| 3 points by DavidChee 6 months ago | past |
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| | I bet against a space launch as I cheered it on (manifold.markets) |
| 2 points by surprisetalk 9 months ago | past |
|
| | Claude Plays Pokémon (manifold.markets) |
| 1 point by surprisetalk 9 months ago | past |
|
| | Will China launch a full-scale invasion of Taiwan by the end of 2025? (manifold.markets) |
| 6 points by lawrenceyan 10 months ago | past | 1 comment |
|
| | Will China attempt to invade Taiwan by the end of 2027? (manifold.markets) |
| 2 points by lawrenceyan 11 months ago | past |
|
| | Seven lessons I didn't learn from election day (manifold.markets) |
| 2 points by Luc on Nov 15, 2024 | past | 2 comments |
|
| | Bet on whether we'll fix our betting site (manifold.markets) |
| 3 points by palebone on Oct 16, 2024 | past |
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| | Biden's paths forward, according to Manifold (manifold.markets) |
| 4 points by surprisetalk on July 2, 2024 | past |
|
| | Dev Insights – Creator Partner Program (manifold.markets) |
| 1 point by debesyla on June 2, 2024 | past |
|
| | Manifold: Cash Prizes for Good Predictions (manifold.markets) |
| 1 point by kqr on May 2, 2024 | past |
|
| | Manifold Love – Retrospective: What we learnt from creating a wild dating app (manifold.markets) |
| 1 point by jseliger on March 9, 2024 | past |
|
| | Rootclaim who favored lab-leak hypothesis loses $100k Covid origins debate (manifold.markets) |
| 6 points by Leary on Feb 18, 2024 | past |
|
| | Will we regret building our new site with Nextjs App Router? (manifold.markets) |
| 3 points by palebone on Jan 19, 2024 | past | 2 comments |
|
| | Will the "Mad Scientists Theory of Governance" be cited by someone important? (manifold.markets) |
| 2 points by collective-intl on Nov 26, 2023 | past | 1 comment |
|
| | Will I consider Sam Altman a grifter by the end of 2026? (manifold.markets) |
| 13 points by 7e on Nov 22, 2023 | past |
|
| | Applying predication markets to help people find love (manifold.markets) |
| 2 points by dominik on Nov 19, 2023 | past |
|
| | Why was Sam Altman fired? – Manifold (manifold.markets) |
| 1 point by stareatgoats on Nov 18, 2023 | past |
|
| | Presenting Manifold Love – Our new dating site (manifold.markets) |
| 1 point by Jetbat on Nov 9, 2023 | past |
|
| | Given an equation of 1 digit numbers, can DALLE-3 add? (manifold.markets) |
| 10 points by epivosism on Oct 8, 2023 | past | 6 comments |
|
| | Predict the future: A new way to get news and answers to real-world questions (manifold.markets) |
| 1 point by danboarder on Sept 2, 2023 | past |
|
| | Prediction Market on LK-99 (manifold.markets) |
| 19 points by huijzer on Aug 1, 2023 | past | 5 comments |
|
| | Prediction market: ~30% chance for Ambient Temperature Superconducting (manifold.markets) |
| 3 points by k2xl on July 31, 2023 | past |
|
| | Will the superconductivity pre-print replicate before 2025? (Manifold Markets) (manifold.markets) |
| 4 points by RomanHauksson on July 26, 2023 | past |
|
| | Out of the Superconducting Loop? (manifold.markets) |
| 1 point by Sir_Salty on July 26, 2023 | past | 1 comment |
|
| | Will the LK-99 room temp superconductivity pre-print replicate before 2025? (manifold.markets) |
| 3 points by collective-intl on July 26, 2023 | past |
|
| | The historical hype around Lisp is from back when the alternative was C (manifold.markets) |
| 2 points by behnamoh on July 25, 2023 | past |
|
| | Will a prompt that enables GPT-4 to solve easy Sudoku puzzles be found? (manifold.markets) |
| 37 points by kilobit on July 20, 2023 | past | 66 comments |
|
| | Is the probability of dying in the Snake Eyes Paradox 1/36? (manifold.markets) |
| 10 points by quickthrower2 on July 17, 2023 | past |
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| More |
