They'll only get to claim a hollow victory because AGI is impossible to rigorously define. None of the regulating bodies of consumer products will be able to define it better than academics. They'll use marketing to make those claims and there will be legal battles that keep it in a gray area.
They'll go for that because it's easier than actually inventing the 'sci-fi' AGI, shareholders keep making money, and it keeps them getting paid to keep going. If any of them actually do succeed, then that little deception will be peanuts.
Demis' bar is high and he stated clearly multiple times: AGI should be capable of inventing truly novel things. Examples he gave included the Theory of General Relativity and the game of Go.
Anthropic's latest model also solved this 80-year-old problem that eluded many expert mathematicians, in a different way, according to one of its employees.
Quite frustrating to see all these cynical, borderline-irrational comments on HN. Maybe I should do what pg and other ex-HN contributors have done--avoid taking part in the discussions here.
The level of discourse here has dropped so much.
At least I should stop replying to people hiding under throwaway accounts.
It doesn't mean everything you can think of is possible.
People who say every jobs will be automated never held any tool more advanced than a screwdriver and never worked a single day outside of an air conditioned office.
They were predicting flying cars for "the year 2000"...
But enough jobs are going to be automated that it will cause social and economic chaos, and political breakdown. Sure AI can't attach an air conditioning unit outside my window nor use a plunger on my toilet but it can still replace lawyers, secretaries, software devs, and many more jobs.
Taxis were supposed to be all replaced when Uber promised to buy every single Tesla model S coming out of factories from 2020,they're not even self driving today...
Software engineers were supposed to disappear "in 6 months" every 6 months since chat gpt was released
Lots of people on this website live in insane bubbles which are completely out of sync with the reality of most workers
No one rational ever said software engineers were going to be replaced in 6 months. Some people said AI will automate 90% of coding in 6 months and they were not far off (and accurate in some contexts, e.g. startups).
The top-level domain registrars are centralized. But you don't need to use them - you're free to use your own TLD's instead of, or even in parallel to, the official ones.
Number of parameters doesn't make the model smarter, it just makes it know more stuff out of the box.
At some point there's diminishing returns and your coding LLM performs worse because you encoded useless stuff like Pokemon combinations or languages you don't speak into its parameter space.
The "smartness" of the model comes from RLHF post-training, which is orthogonal to model size.
Also, if you're using an agentic harness a much better approach is to let the model control its own context. If you ever reach a point where your coding LLM needs to know about Pokemon, just give it a web search tool and let it google the Pokemons.
The Crusades and colonialism can’t be distilled down to single causes, but even if you tried, religious reasons would not be the main ones. Political and financial motivations were far bigger factors in both.
You're simply wrong. Again, cancer is malignant by definition. And again, you seem to be confusing "cancer" with "tumor" -- your description applies to the latter, not the former.
You can label a slow-growing tumor as "not-cancer" if you want, for psychological reasons, I guess; "cancer" just sounds scarier. Some slow-growing "not-cancer" tumors are faster than others. It's a sliding scale, not a dichotomy.
It's too bad the previous singularity cult manias 10 and 15 years ago weren't documented and are lost in time.
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