Did something similar a while back [1], best way to learn neural nets and backprop. Just using Numpy also makes sure you get the math right without having to deal with higher level frameworks or c++ libraries.
I wish I could have played it, but it made me so violently sick. Only a few games ever have, but none that badly. The other one was Blue Prince which was a tragedy.
i loved the base game, but god i wish (maybe this exists) there's a mod that would replace the godawful voiceovers in the cassette tapes with something good.
Currrently works in Italy, Germany, France, Spain and UK.
Rest of Europe and USA coming at the end of the month. The search engine is a bit expensive to run, but it's the only thing I've seen that actually finds local events in small towns.
The market is like an ecosystem. There are huge mammals (investment banks, hedge funds) that look at certain type of preys, and there are smaller rodents that only eat very tiny worms.
In high volatility regimes, ie. stocks with low market cap, the market is far from efficient. Hedge funds are not even looking at stocks with 100M market cap.
There are traders that act in these regimes that beat the market, exactly because they play small.
Anyhow most people would be better of by assuming the market is completely efficient.
That doesn't explain why there's a market for "Yes". For "No" to be worth 3% instead of 0%, there must be people who think "Yes" will in some way be worth 3% or more.
It's typical Empire Hubris: thinking you can get away with anything because you are special.
Trump doesn't really know what he's doing. He surrounded himself with yes-men that know perfectly not to contradict him.
The global Dollar order was built to American advantage. Trump is dismantling it for no reason. If the dollar order crumbles, the US will discover it has much lower productivity.
There is no American exceptionalism: it's just Dollar exceptionalism. No Dollar, no exceptionalism.
I agree, losing reserve currency status would make American gdp / living standards to come way closer to Europe for the simple fact it won't be able to permanently increase its debt deficits.
However its far from clear losing reserve status is going to happen, sure some countries will try to diversify but others are probably too tight inside the American umbrella (for defense for example).
But yeah, surprises can happen so interesting times.
> would make American gdp / living standards to come way closer to Europe
Why are you making it sound like EU is a third world country? Are you aware that living standards are higher in many European countries than the US, right?
> Are you aware that living standards are higher in many European countries than the US, right?
If we measure the total pie then its much smaller in Europe than in the U.S (I mean total wealth/gdp per capita). Only small countries like Norway or Switzerland have high gdp, in France or Germany its almost 50% lower than in the U.S.
Now the pie does not distribute equally in the U.S that's true, but still, there are tons of millionaires in the U.S and I mean pretty regular people (doctors, finance, software devs etc) that had they lived in Europe they would have been comfortable and nothing more. think something like 100k Euro a year (at best) instead of 3-5 times as much which is what they make in the U.S. If the U.S loses reserve status there just won't be enough money to go around for those salaries, or if there will there will be a horrible inflation, either way it just wont be sustainable.
P.S - lots of middle class people in the so called rich European countries like Germany or the Netherlands cannot afford heating anymore. So no, it is definitely not third world but its also not particulalrly rich. The main advantage though is Europe has mostly free healthcare and the U.S is an absolute mismanaged mess in that regard.
No. They’re not, anywhere in Europe. This is a mystifying talking point based on wishful thinking and vastly overestimating the non-monetary value of a larger social safety net. The median US citizen is much, much richer. The first quintile US citizen is fairly comparable to first quintile Europeans in income and in-kind transfers.
But it is certainly the case Trump is trying to bring US income down to something closer to EU levels, which will hopefully cause Congress to get its spine back.
> others are probably too tight inside the American umbrella (for defense for example).
The UK is reconsidering. If the bloody UK is not confident, who else would be? They might be too tight inside for now, but that is a strategic weakness and it will only go one way. Short of the US making it a satellite, it will only loosen.
But a large degree of the exception was being excepted from being blown to smithereens during WW2, which is the kind of opportunity that doesn't usually come around twice.
> which is the kind of opportunity that doesn't usually come around twice.
On the contrary, it most definitely did come around twice (hence the 2), and those same geographic advantages are still at play, barring thermonuclear war. It wasn't pure chance that Europe combusted in WW2, Europe had been on fire off and on for hundreds of years. Its geography just lends itself to large scale conflict.
The recent period of peace is an exception, but it's not the first exception and there's good reason to suppose this one won't last forever either.
I could say the same about the period of peace in the USA which is only from 1865 (Edit: 1865 is the civil war, but thought hey let's look, and it seems there were conflicts with Indians up to 1924!) . It is an exception, because before that it was "the wild west", with various conflicts around.
And not sure how this will play out long term, I don't get an impression that USA states are so aligned on everything.
> I could say the same about the period of peace in the USA which is only from 1865
You can't really compare a period of 160 years to a period of 80, especially given that there's war in Europe once again so the streak is already broken.
80 years is actually shorter than the gap between the Napoleonic wars and WW1 (~100 years), and only represents one generation that lived and died without a local war. On the other hand, 160 years out of 249 is 64% of the existence of the US spent in one continuous period of no widespread local conflict, and represents 5 generations that were born and died without any war on their doorstep. How is that an exception?
> Europe had been on fire off and on for hundreds of years.
The point was that armed conflicts also happened on North American soil (even if consider only USA soil) for long time, so not so different for what happened in Europe. The last period of peace is as much an exception for one as it is for the other given a significant part of the history of the continents.
Also, if we think of countries, there were various European countries that did not participate in or had fights on their territory, during neither WWI or WWII (Ireland, Sweden, Switzerland, Portugal, Spain) and some of those did not have a war on their soil for similar as USA ...
> The last period of peace is as much an exception for one as it is for the other given a significant part of the history of the continents.
But... it's not. 160 years of straight uninterrupted time without total war out of 250 makes no-total-war the norm, not the exception. >50% of the last 250 years have been spent in one continuous period of people not having to wonder if bombs would be falling on their heads today.
That's totally different than Europe, whose longest gap between total war was the 100-year gap between Napoleon and WW1.
> Also, if we think of countries, ... some of those did not have a war on their soil for similar as USA
Yes, but those are each the size of a US state, so unsurprisingly didn't lead to them taking the place of world superpower.
If you're going to be criticizing my argument it would be helpful to keep in mind that I was replying to this:
> But a large degree of the exception was being excepted from being blown to smithereens during WW2, which is the kind of opportunity that doesn't usually come around twice.
You're taking things in totally different directions that aren't relevant to the question of how often the US will continue to be the largest Western country with no threat of total war on domestic soil.
> But... it's not. 160 years of straight uninterrupted time without total war out of 250 makes no-total-war the norm,
Your choose to mention arbitrarily 250 years. I see no reason for that, as there were things happening on the same soil before those 250 years.
> That's totally different than Europe
Europe is not a country, as mentioned not all Europe had the same conditions.
> that aren't relevant to the question of how often the US will continue to be the largest Western country with no threat of total war on domestic soil.
This started about "excepted from being blown to smithereens during WW2, which is the kind of opportunity that doesn't usually come around twice.". Nowadays, some countries in Europe do have nuclear weapons which reduces somehow the possibility to be the only ones blown up. If a nuclear power is hit by nukes, it will retaliate automatically hitting the complete list of enemies.
I think we both exposed our arguments and as we don't seem to be inclined to take into account each other analysis (the 250 years, Europe as a country, risks of current conflicts, etc.) will not add others comments - we can agree to disagree. I still learned various things I did not know before so it was a useful conversation.
Since you edited to reply to my comment I'm stuck leaving a second reply: the conflicts with Indians were not at all the same as the kind of total war we're talking about with the wars of religion, Napoleonic Wars, and the World Wars. The subject of this thread is wars that lead to mass destruction of national power and lead to other countries taking the lead.
For future reference, it makes for much easier reading if you just reply to me instead of editing your comment to respond. This isn't a Notion doc, it's a forum, and I'm not leaving feedback on an artifact, I'm engaging you in a discussion.
>Not anymore with many nations not all that far behind.
Nothing has changed. The dollar simply has no alternatives. The EU? After the freezing of Russian assets? Uncompetitive. BRICS? Even worse, you have one dictator literally controlling all monetary policy. Gold and bitcoin are too volatile.
By BRICS I've mean China and the Yuan. And in China there is exactly one person, who is deciding how reasonable or unreasonable any policy will be tomorrow.
Although it now seems as if that was massively inaccurate, things were very near to turning out completely differently in the first days of the war: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=QlttS0N7uVA
And they're backing down on just enough woke stuff due to the concern about the lack of participation of checked-out-of-society White men in said (world) war.
Everyone puts taxes on some sectors. It's economic policy. Trump is not doing economic policy. He's using a simple formula to ideologically reduce trade deficit. No matter the consequences!
Trust the experts: America will be poorer because of these tariffs.
Why don’t you show some data supporting a more clearly-stated theory? All countries use economic policy, but there’s usually some kind of strategy involved - for example, the EU has a tariff on American steel and aluminum because that was retaliation from Trump’s earlier tariffs. Similarly, a lot of the EU agricultural duties are both protecting local industries but also enforcing quality or safety standards (this is also the reason for the Australian beef imbalance the President mentioned: they have a strict mad cow containment plan American producers dont follow).
The American action doesn’t follow a discernible strategy other than the fantasy that we can somehow “win” every trade relationship. That’s why you see massive taxes on poor countries we buy a lot of raw materials from - Madagascar can’t afford to buy the kind of expensive goods we primarily make, but we love to buy vanilla, so that trade “deficit” is both voluntary and to our mutual benefit.
Degrees from Europe are very transferable. Germany, Italy, France, the nordics etc. all offer engineering degrees in english basically for free (or close) for all EU citizens.
I cannot think of any better and cheaper education path.
Some of the best engineers (and professors!) in the US actually got their education from minor and major Universities in Europe where they got their education for free.
I think you now have to pay for education if you come from outside the EU, at least in France. It is still cheaper than the US because it is massively subsidized by the working class. A person coming to EU only for free /cheap education is not welcomed.
It could change but, so far, most universities haven't applied that rule (even though they could). Even then, we'd be talking 2800 to 3800€ per year, a far cry from $20k.
I wouldn't recommend France, though, because engineering is mainly not taught in universities but in so-called Grandes Ecoles (they're engineering schools), which span years 3-5 and are only accessed after competitive exams at the end of year 2, from a sort of boarding high-school++ program (Classes Préparatoires).
For theoretical studies or even applied fundamental disciplines (like applied math), it's a different story, universities are excellent and they're easy to access (I mean, the better ones are selective, but you could get on board at any time using other degrees, unlike Grandes Ecoles) and get an internationally recognized degree from.
EDIT: Hadn't noticed OP is from the EU, in that case they would pay the same as French people, that's around 500€ per year max.
Yeah, you could go to e.g. TU Delft for 2500€ per year, tuition is often priced by EU/non-EU. That's basically CalTech or MIT level education in engineering for 1/30th of the price. You'd have to get in, of course.
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