They maybe have an rhlf phase, but I mean there is also just the shape of the distribution of images on the internet and, since this is from alibaba, their part of the internet/social media (Weibo) to consider
I think Boeing is up largely for other reasons like entire defense sector going up, especially aerospace, after US aerial participation in the twelve-day Iran war.
> skeptical of the Starship timelines from the beginning
I would hope so, the Shotwell 2018 TED Talk put point to point flights for Starship for around the price of business class in commercial service by 2028, Musk said still on track a few years later after the move away from aspirated cooling, a bit later I think they made the move to aspirational timelines.
It made an impression on me when Musk invited the world's press to Texas and stood them in front of MK1, pointed at it and said it would go to space that year. It also made an impression when it and the next few fell apart on the ground.
After that I decided I wasn't going to count Musk's eggs before they are hatched. What has been accomplished with Starship so far is impressive, that should be acknowledged. But big todo items, heat shield, refueling and reusability are still to be proved and we'll have to wait and see if and when they are achieved.
> with all the usual constructs available in both the display and markup layers.
I'm glad the transition to mobile web accelerated on more battery efficient GPUs was possible due to the model instead of Alan Kay's idea that websites should render themselves, where each website would have needed to be upgraded for GPU support for compositing.
Tariffs make the overall tax burden on society less progressive. They are flat so tend to push the overall rate towards flat. But affect some spending categories more than others. Rich import luxury goods but also spend more on things like services, experiences, and land (top 1% owns 40%).
Most of the luxury goods they import are Veblen goods and something else replaces them with little to no QoL impact. Selective tariffs on luxury/Veblen goods could strengthen the economy, but flat tariffs probably disproportionately hurt the poor.
There needs to be a distinction between the working poor and the non-working poor.
People who don't work are hurt by tariffs, whether they are rich or poor. While people who work are more benefitted by the higher wages of increased domestic labor demand than they are hurt by higher consumer prices.
Given the option of higher income or lower prices, I take higher income any day. Because like the rest of the working population I need a home to live in more than I need foreign goods.
> Tariffs make the overall tax burden on society less progressive.
It might do, but it also has a progressive upwards effect on salaries and employment as workers move on to better opportunities when domestic demand increases.
>While people who work are more benefitted by the higher wages of increased domestic labor
This is not a given. In the US unemployment has been low for a very long time. If the majority of your population is in the 'well enough' paid service economy and you're trying to bring pay low paying blue collar jobs, then all you do is massively increase the total price of everything because the production line works needs to massively increase salaries to compete with things like software engineering.
Furthermore there is zero requirement that onshoring actually brings jobs, at all. If I'm going to build a factory here in the US I'm going to automate the fuck out of everything having the minimal amount of staffing. It won't be like 100 years ago where a factory brought in 1000s of jobs.
Service economy jobs are worse and pay less than factory jobs.
Factory work is much more productive so they have better margins to pay workers. And you always need people, because complete automation is not a good investment at all scales.
Yes, in an economy with higher salaries many service economy businesses won't be able to compete on wages and will be forced to shut down. Eating out might again become a once in a while thing instead of an everyday thing. That's fine. It's worth it in order to improve salaries and work conditions.
Software engineers are such a small part of the labor market to not be a sector to consider. They are definitely nowhere near being a majority of workers as you imply.
Because those were "free time" projects. It wasn't directed to do by the company, somebody at the company with their flex time - just thought it was a good idea and did it. Googlers don't get this benefit any more for some reason.
Leadership's direction at the time was to use 20% of your time in unstructured exploration and cool ideas like that, though good point of the other poster that that is no longer a policy.
Stock market isn't the economy. If wages are largely stock comp at high valuation they get clawed back in a crash. Infrastructure spend is massive but at 70-80% margins for nvidia real cost to economy is cut by that much, aside from the datacenter and power build out which is definitely a big portion.
It could unwind cleanly as long as we don't let it infect the banking system too much, which it has started somewhat doing with more debt financed deals instead of equity financed and probably book values making it into bank balance sheets.
Truck driver wages are $180-280 billion annually and seems like something that will get replaced and should justify $1 trillion of the spend or more, economically. I think Tesla for instance only spends single digit billions in R&D most years though, so the spending may not be going to where the most immediate solid/lasting economic impacts will come from. I'm not sure what Waymo's spend is.
I don't know about those other things, but driverless trucking isn't going to happen within the next 50 years at least. Besides all the logistical challenges and risks to businesses throughout the supply chain, you're talking about 3.6 million American truck-driver jobs. There is little else that politicians love more than saving jobs, especially blue collar, and that's a helluva lot of jobs. To put it in perspective, the TSA is basically a jobs program that costs 12 billion to employ only 58,000 people who don't do anything useful. Politicians'll do whatever it takes to keep those 3.6 million jobs. Add on the fact that truckers can and do organize, and it doesn't take many of them to shut down shipping and transportation. The trucking industry is also reticent to upgrade or spend more money; they won't even invest in electric trucks with drivers. And there's a wide variety of trucks out there with complex routes that won't be mapped, so only a few major highways will be covered, meaning you still need a driver. There will be pilot programs but that's it.
> they won't even invest in electric trucks with drivers.
Do any of these make sense economically right now? The Tesla one is mainly being piloted hauling potato chips for Pepsico because they are so light weight. Few of the Tesla Semi numbers from the presentation seemed to come true (and the part about having autonomous follower convoys working in ~2017...), and you had the guy from Nikola rolling it down a hill and needing a presidential pardon.
People only hear about the tech companies' efforts, but actually Volvo, Peterbilt, and Freightliner have had EV models for a while now. Tesla's truck sucks but the others don't because they're built on established platforms (though their range is ~250mi). At the end of the day the trucks are way too expensive and there's no charger locations for them.
tl;dr no it's not economically viable right now, but my point is that it's an extra expense, and self-driving is more complicated/fraught than even an EV truck. trucking companies want either a very easy cost savings, or stick to what they know. (to give you an idea of this: many companies still use paper and pencil to manage driver schedules/routes)
> and can tune a model towards whatever ideology you'd like.
Maybe possible, but, for example, Musk's recent attempts at getting Grok to always bolster him had Grok bragging Musk could drink the most piss in the world if humanity's fate depended on it and would be the absolute best at eating shit if that was the challenge.
> Primates are relatively unique in their complete lack of innate swimming abilities.
Human babies can swim, so it's maybe more initially an innate one that gets lost. Though they won't be able to keep their head over water by default if that's what you meant (can be trained to as a toddler). But I'm talking about swimming on the umbilical in water births, etc., showing that there isn't a complete lack of innate swimming abilities.
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