We should be less concerned about super intelligence and more about the immediate threat of job loss. An AI doesn’t need to be Skynet to wreak massive havoc on society. Replacing 20% of jobs in a very short period of time could spark global unrest resulting in WW3
Replacing 20% of jobs in, say, 10 years wouldn't be that unusual [1]. It can mean growing prosperity. In fact, productivity growth is the only thing that increases wealth overall.
It is the lack of productivity growth that is causing a lot of extremism and conflict right now. Large groups of people feel that the only way for them to win is if others lose and vice versa. That's a recipe for disaster.
The key question is what happens to those who lose their jobs. Will they find other, perhaps even better, jobs? Will they get a piece of the growing pie even if they don't find other jobs and have to retire early?
It's these eternal political problems that we have to solve. It's nothing new. It has never been easy. But it's probably easier than managing decline and stagnation because at least we would have a growing pie to divvy up.
The thing is, the replaced 20% people can always revert to having economy i.e., business among themselves, unless of cause they themselves prefer (cheaper) buissiness with AI. But then this just means they are better off in the first place from this change.
It is a bit like claiming that third world low productivity countries are suffering because there are countries with much much higher productivity. Well, they can continue to do low productivity business but increase it a bit using things like phones developed by high productivity country elsewhere.
> It is a bit like claiming that third world low productivity countries are suffering because there are countries with much much higher productivity.
No. A country has its own territory, laws, central bank, currency etc. If it has sufficient natural resources to feed itself, it can get by on its own (North Korea comes to mind).
Individuals unable to compete in their national economy have none of that. Do you own enough land to feed yourself?
You mean CarPlay? I worried about that before getting a model y, and it was really unfounded. If anything Tesla’s is better (at worst equal). I love not plugging in my phone every time (no maps on Bluetooth with CarPlay). Maybe turo a Tesla for a few days before making up your mind
I drive my parents’ Model S and Model Y whenever I visit them. I’m very familiar with the cars. I love everything about the drive, can’t stand the UX.
> I love not plugging in my phone every time (no maps on Bluetooth with CarPlay)
So far, I test drove an Toyota RAV4 Prime 2023, a Audi Q3 2020, and a Mercedes GLC 300 2024, all have wireless CarPlay that starts with 1 tap after I sit down in the car. The Toyota and Mercedes have an inductive charging spot for the phone.
