We agree! Unchecked development could lead to disaster. Insurers can insist on adherence to best practices to incentivize safe practices. They can also clarify liability and cover most (but not all) of the risk, leaving the developer on the hook for a portion of it.
1. Someone is always carrying the risk; the question is, who it should be? We suggest private markets should price and carry the first $10B+ before the government backstop. That incentivizes them to price and manage it.
2. Insurance has plenty of ways to manage moral hazard (e.g. copays). Pricing any new risk is hard, but at least with AI you can run simulations, red-team, review existing data, etc.
3. We agree on existential losses, but catastrophic events can be priced and covered. Insurers enforcing compliance with audits/standards would help them reduce catastrophes, in turn reducing the risk of many existential risks.
What you are saying makes sense for conventional harms like non consensual deepfakes, hallucinations, Waymo running pedestrians over, etc.
However, those are a far cry from the much more severe damages that superintelligence
could enable. All of the above are damages which already could exist with current technology. Are you saying we have superintelligence now?
If not, your idea of selling superintelligence insurance hinges on the ability of anyone to price this kind of risk: an infinitely large number multiplied by another infinitely small number.
(I realize my explanation was wrong above, and should be the product of two numbers.)
I think many readers will also take issue with your contention that the private market is able to price these kinds of existential risks. Theoretically, accurate pricing would enable bioweapons research. However, the potential fallout from a disaster is so catastrophic that the government simply bans the activity outright.
Dreambound creates upward mobility for American job seekers and simplifies hiring for employers. We’re an early startup helping low-income folks upskill and afford vocational training (think truck driving or nursing) with zero-interest loans. It’s a bit like Affirm meets edtech meets workforce development — deeply mission-oriented work helping people get ready for an economy that’s left them behind, and also an exciting engineering challenge as we’re working with a modern stack and awesome team.
This is engineering role #4 at a 10+ person company with some phenomenal talent and great culture. We're hiring for both front-end and back-end roles, with a focus on someone who has had 2+ years of experience working on front-end (React, TypeScript) or back-end (TypeScript). We have an SF office and a distributed team — on-site post-COVID and remote available.
In my time in tech I have never come across a company that is as mission-oriented as ours — while still very much focused on building a successful business. For many of our customers, Dreambound represents a lifeline to economic stability. We are backed by USV; leaders at Affirm, Twitter, General Assembly; and some of the best VCs/angels in the business. It's a GREAT opportunity to join an early-stage company.
You can apply here and mention HN, or email me directly (brandon@ the below domain name):
"At the first quarter of 2021, the overall citywide
asking rent was $73.76 per square foot (psf) down 12.0% from the peak of $83.82 psf with the Class A citywide figure at $77.66 psf, down 10.0% from $86.31 psf,. Direct space continues to be marketed at near record levels for the time being with the citywide Class A direct asking rent at $84.47 psf and the CBD Class A direct asking rent at $85.71 psf" — Cushman and Wakefield
Aka a company with a vested interest in convincing you that the $75 price they are offering you is totally in line with the average and it's really good and you should just take it.
Dreambound creates upward mobility for American job seekers and simplifies hiring for employers. We’re an early startup helping low-income folks upskill and afford vocational training (think truck driving or nursing) with zero-interest loans. It’s a bit like Affirm meets edtech meets workforce development — deeply mission-oriented work helping people get ready for an economy that’s left them behind, and also an exciting engineering challenge as we’re working with a modern stack and awesome team.
This is engineering role #4 at a 10+ person company with some phenomenal talent and great culture. We're hiring for both front-end and back-end roles, with a focus on someone who has had 2+ years of experience working on front-end (React, TypeScript) or back-end (TypeScript). We have an SF office and a distributed team — on-site post-COVID and remote available.
In my time in tech I have never come across a company that is as mission-oriented as ours — while still very much focused on building a successful business. For many of our customers, Dreambound represents a lifeline to economic stability. We are backed by USV; leaders at Affirm, Twitter, General Assembly; and some of the best VCs/angels in the business. It's a GREAT opportunity to join an early-stage company.
You can apply here and mention HN, or email me directly (brandon@ the below domain name):
Dreambound creates upward mobility for American job seekers and simplifies hiring for employers. We’re an early startup helping low-income folks upskill and afford vocational training (think truck driving or nursing) with zero-interest loans. It’s a bit like Affirm meets edtech meets workforce development — deeply mission-oriented work helping people get ready for an economy that’s left them behind, and also an exciting engineering challenge as we’re working with a modern stack and awesome team.
This is engineering role #4 at a 10+ person company with some phenomenal talent and great culture. We're hiring for both front-end and back-end roles, with a focus on someone who has had 2+ years of experience working on front-end (React, TypeScript) or back-end (TypeScript). We have an SF office and a distributed team — on-site post-COVID and remote available.
In my time in tech I have never come across a company that is as mission-oriented as ours — while still very much focused on building a successful business. For many of our customers, Dreambound represents a lifeline to economic stability. We are backed by USV; leaders at Affirm, Twitter, General Assembly; and some of the best VCs/angels in the business. It's a GREAT opportunity to join an early-stage company.
You can apply here and mention HN, or email me directly (brandon@ the below domain name):
Dreambound creates upward mobility for American job seekers and simplifies hiring for employers. We’re an early startup helping low-income folks upskill and afford vocational training (think truck driving or nursing) with zero-interest loans. It’s a bit like Affirm meets edtech meets workforce development — deeply mission-oriented work helping people get ready for an economy that’s left them behind, and also an exciting engineering challenge as we’re working with a modern stack and awesome team.
This is engineering role #4 at a 10+ person company with some phenomenal talent and great culture. We're hiring for both front-end and back-end roles, with a focus on someone who has had 2+ years of experience working on front-end (React, TypeScript) or back-end (TypeScript). We have an SF office and a distributed team — on-site post-COVID and remote available.
In my time in tech I have never come across a company that is as mission-oriented as ours — while still very much focused on building a successful business. For many of our customers, Dreambound represents a lifeline to economic stability. We are backed by USV; leaders at Affirm, Twitter, General Assembly; and some of the best VCs/angels in the business. It's a GREAT opportunity to join an early-stage company.
You can apply here and mention HN, or email me directly (brandon@ the below domain name):
During a pandemic, the only roles that you can hire for are ones that are remote (by definition, more or less). So this is not really charting a "shift". The question is, post-pandemic, will new roles continue to be permanent remote or will they gravitate back towards office roles?
As someone who has posted many remote Who is Hiring posts, I know that they've had little bearing on our company's decision process to move new roles back in-person or stay remote.
In the data, I've seen companies marking jobs that are remote only during the pandemic as "onsite", "COVID remote", "remote until COVID is over". I've classified those type of posts as NOT remote in this analysis. For example, I'd assume if you are a NYC based company, and want everyone to be onsite after the pandemic, you wouldn't hire someone from Alaska without sharing the onsite expectation upfront (i.e. marking your job post as "onsite").
That's not what the GP is saying though. You won't even bother posting to fill a job that can't e done remote, so you need to consider the volume of postings as well as the composition.
That's a fair point that the overall volume needs to be considered. And during Apr–Jul it was true that hiring volumes were subdued, and it is likely that onsite-centric companies simply weren't able to hire at all. However, job post volumes exceeded pre-pandemic volumes from August and onwards. This suggests that there was actually a change in behavior. The job post volume charts didn't make it into the article but can be viewed here: https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1jlLJkZJz3NBeyjylzTYA...
Some other surveys show a considerable percentage of business owners, executives and managers at companies think the same.
I can attest to the growth. I run a job board called Remote OK and you can see the explosive rise in job posts and revenue here from around May 2020: https://remoteok.io/open
Friend works in finance at a major alcohol/wine company not too far from SF(I'm guessing people can guess). Said prior to the pandemic there was no way they would have hired full time remote workers for their department. Now, they have no plans to go back after the pandemic due to how it has worked out and the fact they can get talent from all over the country and from cheaper COL areas.
