Thanks for zooming out and sharing these questions that challenge pg’s assumption from the beginning. I felt caught in the essay’s ethos and throngs the moment I started reading. This helps me pause

Is pg factoring uncertainty and unpredictability into this argument on per-project procrastination? He brought in the idea of natural selection earlier in the essay, yet may be ignoring that the best project to work on may not be known a priori.

“One reason per-project procrastination is so dangerous is that it usually camouflages itself as work. You're not just sitting around doing nothing; you're working industriously on something else. So per-project procrastination doesn't set off the alarms that per-day procrastination does.”