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If you're looking for The Single Greatest Predictor of Future Stock Market Returns[1], here it is: http://www.philosophicaleconomics.com/2013/12/the-single-gre...

This is a long read, but it's worth it. The metric can be calculated in FRED[2], and as a predictor of future returns, it outperforms all of the most common stock market valuation metrics, including cyclically-adjusted price-earnings (CAPE) ratio[3]. (Basically, the average investor portfolio allocation to equities versus bonds and cash is inversely correlated with future returns over the long-term. This works better than pure valuation models because it accounts for supply and demand dynamics.)

[1]: http://www.philosophicaleconomics.com/2013/12/the-single-gre...

[2]: http://research.stlouisfed.org/fred2/graph/?g=qis

[3]: http://www.multpl.com/shiller-pe/


SystemD was so polarizing for me, I was a Fedora user and RHEL user for work- but it started consuming everything and giving really bizarre issues... I tried reaching out and explaining to people that it wasn't working in the way I expected or, asking them to point me towards the docs so I can at least learn how to use journalling properly so it doesn't hide issues from me.. and was met with some hostility.

When I asked to disable binary logging entirely because it kept getting corrupted and was opaque I was met with "Unlearn your old ways old man"-style responses and "You can just log to rsyslog too".. No, I want it disabled.. I don't have a desire to log twice..

It was then I realised I was at the mercy of systemd, they can push whatever and reject whatever and I'm completely out of control- I cannot introspect their service manager effectively, it's non-deterministic. It just reeks of hubris from the maintainers. It does mostly the right thing for most people, and they compare it to sysvinit which admittedly needed love. (and, was not a process manager, was only a process starter).

So, I adopted *BSD on the server. And christ is it wonderful.

I still use Arch/SystemD on my desktop at home, because it's actually pretty useful on laptops/desktops. But I swore a vow never to manage a server with SystemD on it.

I'm still runing RHEL6 at work, for the next OS, I'm pushing my very large corp to adopt FreeBSD as an alternative. That's a fairly large amount of money that Red Hat will lose and I don't particularly feel bad about it.

They forced my hand.


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